Showing posts with label yellowstone harmonic tremors. Show all posts
Showing posts with label yellowstone harmonic tremors. Show all posts

Friday, January 02, 2009

More on Yellowstone: harmonics and duelling scientists

Now the battle of the media truth is on. Who to believe? What is the truth?

Dr. Lowenstern, a top Yellowstone seismographic observer has gone on record in an e-mail interview with a reporter from US News & World Report denying several times that anything unusual is happening at Yellowstone lake:

Dr. Jacob Lowenstern of the U.S. Geological Survey said Monday that the earthquake activity in Yellowstone most likely will continue for weeks, "and then will end without any other related activity."

Well, that's nice, but any vulcanologist around the world will tell you they cannot predict what a volcano is going to do.
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Then, US NEWS & World Report also has received information from another scientist who analysed the data but not the earthquakes:

More on the Yellowstone earthquake swarm at the supervolcano caldera. First, this piece of database analysis from an IT guy at Splunk puts the swarm into scary perspective:

I'm sending you this email with some information I've gleaned from the USGS archives. I'm analyzing the ANSS data (http://www.ncedc.org/cnss/) in an install of Splunk, which is a timeline based search and reporting engine. I have 30 years of data in the system, with about 2M quakes total. It makes doing graphs and adhoc investigations faster than dealing with the USGS limited search forms. Disclaimer: I work for Splunk as their evangelist, and spend a lot of time studying various timeline based textual data and writing interesting apps for the software. I am not an earthquake expert by any means.

Using the ANSS data, I discovered the number of 2.5 or higher quakes in the *general* Yellowstone area for the decade of the 1980s was 128. The number of 2.5 or higher quakes for the region directly around the lake in the *last 4 days* was 30.

Again, for 2.5 mag or greater quakes:
Entire region of Yellowstone for 10 years = 128 quakes
Area just around Yellowstone Lake last 4 Days = 30 quakes

The entire 1980s of 2.5 or higher quakes in the vicinity of the lake was a paltry 4 quakes. Doing a quick back of the envelope calculation using the number of quakes and the intensities, the activity over the last 4 days has released roughly 100x the amount of energy released in the entire 1980s for the same general region. In the last week alone there have been 10 quakes of magnitude 3.0 or greater around the lake, with one as high as 3.8.

And here is yet another link to what are clearly harmonic tremors. Which the USGS denies are happening.

Now, the doom watch could go on for weeks or months or years. Personally I do not think it will blow into an ELE, because I look at the workings of the universe from a biblical perspective and we are simply not that far along the end times/judgment scenarios yet. So I am going to quit focusing on Yellowstone and turn my attention to American Movie Classics (watched Them! and King Kong last night, yeah)

But the bible does say to watch, and there will be signs and that there will be events in which men's hearts fail them for what is coming upon the earth. So any scientific anomaly is of interest to me in these end times because I love quantifiable data (not for me, the bible is quantifiable enough being 100% truth, but to show others).

So there you have a Yellowstone update and the battle of the scientists begins.